That could be revised downward to small negative numbers. However, the adoption of advanced technology and the incorporation of data analytics into fleet operations can turn the tables for the industry. All of the tools to keep you safe and compliant from Load to Last Mile., Full Broker Suite with Digital Load Offers, Visibility & Document Management, Adopt ways to reduce expenses and avoid inflated borrowing costs if possible, Emphasize scalability to allow rapid adjustment to market fluctuations, Embrace new technology that improves operational efficiency, Connect to a network of trusted partners and vendors. a much wider customer base, thanks to the fact that it is now easier for trucks 1.1 1. There currently seems to be a consensus in the outlook for 2023 a recession is looming, and likely to hit. experience in the coming year is the growth of urbanization. "Until I start seeing signs that job openings are dropping sharply, quits are dropping sharply, and payroll growth stops, I don't see us being in a recession.". with another trucking company. them are beginning to incorporate 'smart' technology to improve the vehicle's In addition, he said, we are seeing payroll job growth slowed but still solid. Higher Number of Mergers 4) 4. For trucking, technology will be key in allowing you to create a stable environment for 2023. development within this space. Thank you for choosing LabworksUSA to manage your Clearinghouse responsibilities. Looking at some key economic indicators that affect how much freight will likely be available to haul, Vise said there is still some concern over high inventories. Contract and spot rates to increase. The trend of shifting to a new production location is witnessed across the entire transportation and logistics industry and is not exclusive only to the trucking industry. When spot rates were high, many new small motor carriers entered the industry. From 2014 to 2017, the trucking industry's revenue hovered right between $676.2 and $726.4 billion and grew to $796.7 billion in 2018. This means that there will be plenty of opportunities for companies that specialize in these areas. Here are a few nuggets of positive trends for the coming year when it comes to the trucking industry: OEM Production: Both medium-duty (class 6-7) and heavy-duty (class 8) equipment production is looking positive for 2023. The federal government has proposed new regulations that would increase the minimum wage for truck drivers, as well as impose new safety standards on the industry. The second one is to merge with a company from a different sector to expand its business and services. what the industry had in the past. crippled without the trucking industry. The good news is that fuel prices are expected to continue to decrease in 2023. production operations to newer locations, in order to meet the ever-growing 4. During a recent CCJ webinar sponsored by Bestpass,Jason Miller, associate professor of supply chain management at Michigan State University, andACT ResearchPresident and Senior AnalystKenny Viethdiscussed the market forces, business conditions and supply chain issues that will impact carrier operations in 2023. The main reason behind this move would be for the trucking companies . As far as mergers are concerned, trucking companies are likely to explore two options: the first option is to merge with an existing trucking company and pool the resources together to stay afloat in the business. However, if the industry witnesses positive growth, the prices will increase. that surfaced last year quite likely run parallel with the ones expected to rise in the upcoming year. Transportation professionals are no strangers to the rise and fall of economic conditions over the years. In spite of inflation, Vise said, real consumer spending is holding up, although spending on goods is fairly flat. For comparison, in Q3 2019 this rate was 2.62%. Miller expressed concern over new housing starts heading into 2023, which would have an impact on freight volume, and even pegged single-family housing as his biggest concern headed into 2023. function in 2023. A market flip is expected to emerge in 2023. about your DOT and FMCSA compliance. . the future of trucking. It contributes to the country's economic success and its global dominance. experts are eagerly anticipating 2023 and all it is likely to bring. The trucking industry has been through many changes in recent years, with the pandemic causing major disruptions, the economy struggling, fuel prices fluctuating, and new technologies emerging. A reassuring sign, however, comes from the general merchandise sector, which started rapidly adjusting inventories downward during the fourth quarter. This would then allow them to maintain their current position streamlined. With such major and unexpected changes, what does the future hold for trucking? The production locations for some of the most popular. Trucks are now being equipped with advanced fleet technology, improving the vehicles overall efficiency and functionality. Subscribe to our mailing list and stay updated with the latest in trucking technologies. Spot rates have been in freefall since January 2022, and while contract rates are still elevated, they are beginning to follow a similar trendline. However, it is important to note that the e-commerce industry would be In addition to these challenges and trends, the trucking industry in 2023 is also facing a number of regulatory changes. While cost increases may slow in 2023, its likely that this higher cost structure is here to stay, requiring firms to become more efficient and effective in their operations. trucks themselves. It is unlikely that the trend will change in the coming year unless there is The internet has become an integral part of our lives, and the trucking industry is not exempt from this phenomenon. Unlike previous onboard recorders (AOBRDs & EOBRs), your ELDs must connect directly to the vehicle's engine and monitor usage to ensure logs are accurate. By 2023, the total freight tonnage is expected to grow by 21 percent, and revenue for the freight transportation industry is expected to rise 59 percent, according to the Ontario Trucking Association (OTA). The trucking industry is one of the most important segments of the US economy. All the trucking industry trends are indeed likely to influence the entire US trucking industry in 2023. Companies in the sector will need to adapt and invest in new technologies to stay competitive and meet the changing needs of the market. demand for trucks. It is important to understand that the e-commerce industry cannot prosper and function properly without the support of the trucking industry. We are in an environment where overall freight levels are not likely to change a whole lot over the year., Asked about why we still hear talk of a driver shortage in light of this capacity shift, Vise said, I believe what a lot of people call a driver shortage is, frankly, just the churn thats always there. From fuel prices to maintenance to driver pay, finding ways to reduce your cost-per-mile with the use of technology can help your trucking business navigate these uncertain economic times. Fuel: Whether you run heavy-duty trucks using diesel or light-duty trucks using gasoline, fuel is always a key topic when it comes to transportation annual outlooks and trends. and we can only wait in anticipation to see what the coming year has in store. how it operates and the types of trucks making their way to marketplaces. As the industry grows, so too will the prices of trucking services. Investments in technologies, like TMS software, will be more necessary than ever before to keep your business competitive amid rising fuel costs. Rising Fuel Costs 9) 9. Review our OnSite Maintenance Program to see if its right for your needs. Even though the total truckload rate is fairly similar to what we saw in 2002, Vise pointed out that costs today to operate a trucking company are much higher. Its an essential part of the economy, and its estimated that over 70% of all goods in the United States are transported by truck at some point. transported, as well as because they need to communicate this information to It is unlikely that the trend will change in the coming year unless Home / Industry News / 2023 Trucking Industry Outlook. In the past year, the trucking industry has undergone tremendous changes in As of July 1, FTR was forecasting 307,400 new Class 8 vehicles built this year, followed by 340,000 in 2022 and 350,000 in 2023. Platooning is a new technology that trucking companies are looking into that would allow trucks to travel closer together in a convoy to save on fuel. Most importantly, the morale of the industry itself at the independent level is just not good right now." 2023 Trucking Forecast. total freight tonnage will grow from an estimated 15.1 billion tons in 2021 to 19.3 billion tons in 2032a 28% increase; while truck's share of the freight tonnage will slowly decline from 72.2% in 2021 to 71% in 2032overall volumes will grow across all segments of the industry: truckload, less-than-truckload and private carrier. Drivers: Fewer trucks in a fleet could mean an easement of the driver shortage for 2023, but this may be short-lived relief, given the forecasts of driver retirement rising in the next 2 years. However, echoing many of Miller's positive indicators, Vieth said it could be "the best recession ever," addingthat a strong U.S. balance sheet sets up a mild recession in 2023 with recovery in 2024 and 2025. In conclusion, the trucking industry is expected to face some challenges as a shortage of drivers and regulatory changes, as well as opportunities as the adoption of autonomous trucks and sustainable practices. Comments that include personal These investments can help you to reduce fuel surcharges, plan fuel-efficient routes, and monitor driver behavior that could negatively impact fuel usage. Aerodynamics is the study of how objects move through the air and how they interact with the air. More and more Nashville trucking companies are beginning to specialize in delivering e-commerce orders, as this is where the demand is. You could benefit from government subsidies available for not only the vehicles, but also the investment in the necessary infrastructure to support an EV fleet. Read our insights on the latest buzz in the transportation industry. Companies should focus on a few key initiatives to weather the storm, such as: By taking the above steps, businesses will be well-positioned for success in a changing economic landscape no matter what lies ahead. FTR's State of Freight webinar on Jan. 12 explored the economic indicators that most affect the freight market as well as trucking-specific numbers and offered FTRs outlook for the year. Inflation, supply chain challenges, and rising interest rates lead to another challenging year. And while there are signs that a return to normalcy is on the horizon, it looks like were in for another year of volatility. However, an increasing number of companies are looking to expand their This could be either trucking companies merging with other trucking companies or trucking companies merging with non-trucking companies. Over the years, fuel costs have only risen because of the limited nature of One example of how technology has improved the trucking industry is through fleet management systems. Now, most people realize that this is one of the, Trucking Industry Forecast For 2023 How Will The Industry Perform and How Can You Take Advantage Of It? With this growth, revenue in the industry is projected to rise 66 percent. This means that you can use cutting-edge tools to help your business grow while also keeping your costs down. Theyve been forced to navigate the dwindling spot rates that now threaten to drag contract rates downward for the foreseeable future.(FreightWaves, 2022). Trucking trends in 2023 are likely to revolve around higher fuel costs. 10940 SW Barnes Road #115, Portland, Oregon 97225. The secure and easy all-access connection to your content. Influence of E-Commerce; 1.3 3. Written by:MarketingPublished on:December 20, 2022, Categories: Recent News, Thought Leadership, Transflo Blog. Despite the pandemic, freight volume has been on the rise and is expected to continue growing in 2023. But, this does not necessarily equate to what happens to capacity. 2023 Heavy Duty Trucking, Bobit. to bring new opportunities and challenges for businesses and individuals alike, From better route planning to software that predicts breakdowns, there are many different ways technology can improve efficiency and safety in your trucking company. FTRs utilization numbers, an indication of capacity, are falling. The corporate world is beginning to take advantage of Despite all the struggles and challenges the industry had to go through, many experts are still optimistic about 2023 and believe the industry is likely to experience a major incline due to new technological developments. Discover how Trans Plus has helped companies. The trucking industry is going to see an increase in mergers in 2023 as companies attempt to pool resources together to weather the storm. New housing starts is a key statistic to watch when it comes to freight volumes. years, most of the country has experienced wide-scale development, with most In this Oct. 25 discussion Costello shared his belief that the trucking industry is safe from a possible 2023 recession. Thats probably going to translate into a negative environment.. All Rights Reserved, M&W Logistics Group, Inc. M&W Continuing Long Safety Award Winning Streak, References to Keep on Hand for a Truck Breakdown, What to Expect in the Trucking Industry in 2023. merchandise. "I think that we're going to have a mild recession early next year," Costello said. This is particularly interesting because as the economy grows and recovers, one would expect that freight would grow as a result. By Deborah Lockridge Sara Naveed is a creative and digital content writer who uses her creative skills to develop and edit professional web content. The average trucking rates are based on DAT iQ's $137 billion database of actual freight payments. It added that 56% of the trucking fleets that responded to their survey implemented three or more new safety technologies.. with other companies rather than go under. Trucking is one of the most important transportation industries in the world. Typically, when forecasting economics, one looks for a multitude of global and domestic indicators on interest rates, creditworthiness, etcetera. Harsh market conditions have caused several trucking companiesboth large and small trucking companiesto shut down their operations. January 12, 2023 While 2023 promises to be another volatile year, being prepared for whats coming can give you a competitive advantage. Many firms have become more resilient and agile in the face of adversity. This growth is sure The growth of online shopping has led to an increase in the number of small, individual orders, which has created new challenges for trucking companies. In 2023 we will continue to deal with ongoing industry challenges, but experts do expect progress. The concept of real-time tracking has allowed many trucking companies to keep track of their shipments, vehicles, and drivers. The trucking industry is going to see an increase in mergers in 2023 as companies attempt to pool resources together to weather the storm. Intrigue Services Worldwide. With advances being made every year towards improving batteries so they can store more energy per pound than before, electric trucks could become increasingly popular over time. Now its time to look forward. In recent years, the industry has faced some challenges such as rising fuel prices, but despite these obstacles, it still remains an extremely popular choice for drivers and business owners who want to make money while working on their own terms. 2021 has been the first year since 2018 that the industry has grown, as there was a steep decline in 2020. Your submission has been received! Lets get you prepared for the challenges to come with our predictions for the top 4 trends in trucking in 2023.. The number of truck driver jobs will increase significantly in 2023 due to several factors such as increased construction activity, greater demand from retailers, higher freight rates, and rising consumer spending. What economic indicators say about freight levels, What Economic, Trucking Numbers Tell Us About Recession Likelihood. We go beyond our usual The main takeaway from this article is that if youre looking for a job, there are plenty of opportunities available right now. To meet this demand, companies are investing in new technologies and innovative delivery options, such as drones and robots, to ensure that they can deliver goods as quickly and efficiently as possible. Despite the unpredictable economic situation and the ongoing driver and semi-truck shortage, the industry experts are still hopeful that the trucking industry will emerge stronger in the coming year and they believe the future of the trucking industry is bright. With all that in mind, FTRs forecast for demand (truck loadings) in the coming year is essentially running flat, Vise said, although that will probably be revised downward, possible to slightly negative. Inflation is a big factor on everyones mind. have remained constant for several years. ", While credit card debt is up,Miller said there has not been a corresponding increase in delinquencies, adding, "we're actuallystill below pre-COVID levels, as hard as that is to believe. However, the solutions present for this are far more than Manufacturing growth has flattened, although there is still some pent-up demand for manufactured goods from the supply-chain shortages triggered by the pandemic. Another trend that is expected to shape the trucking industry in 2023 is the growing demand for sustainable and eco-friendly practices. One of the biggest challenges facing the trucking industry in 2023 is the ongoing shortage of truck drivers. largely manual and analog process has been modernized and streamlined thanks to "Using Class 8 as an example, record orders in September followed by . further in order to stay afloat. renowned trucking companies have remained steadfast, and the industry has only It is likely another interest rate spike is coming; therefore, loans and credit lines will likely be considered a last resort in Q1 of 2023 (with the belief of refinancing as a prelude to any new contracts signed in the foreseeable future). We saw a long and strong period of adding more carriers than we were losing, but that has come to an end. The trucking industry is essential to the In the past few years, trucking has seen a major shift in how its viewed. In 2019, we started to see seasonally adjusted employment decline, and we're not at that point yet.". the board. Regarding trucking the same risks will take effect, particularly concerning interest rates business loans, auto loans for new trucks, and credit rates are all factors that are going to make 2023 difficult for fleets and factors as they continue operations into the new year. functionality. Companies that are able to adapt and invest in new technologies will be well-positioned to succeed in this constantly evolving industry. incredibly low, so much so that truckers earn far less than the average Enroll Now. Powerful add-ons to help you scale and grow with confidence. The trucking industry is poised to continue its slow but steady path back to normalcy. Lower utilization means more capacity and lower truckload rates. For 2023, it is expected that capacity issues will decrease as companies plan their movements better and allocate their trucks where they are needed the most. If you exclude volatile energy and food prices, the Core CPI climbed 5.7% in December from a year earlier, down from a 6% increase in November. 3: Modernizing America's transportation system in an inclusive, equitable way. This has led to increased costs and delays for companies, as well as a strain on the overall economy. An end-to-end TMS software tailored to your needs. 2023 can be a source of better earnings for most truckers if the industry thrives. Miler said while there indeed has been an increase from the all-time low of 1.55% in Q3 2021, he believes more significant is that the delinquency rate remains below pre-COVID levels and there's not been an upward jump like in Q4 2008 or Q1 2009, "when the Great Recession was at its worst.". 1110 Pumping Station Road Nashville, TN 37210 Phone: 615.256.5755 Fax: 615.726.3568info@mwlginc.com. What does the future of the trucking industry look like? such as the global pandemic, witnessing tremulous shifts in the purchasing trends, and navigating disruptions across the supply chainalong with rapid changes in the trucking trends. The e-commerce boom is also driving significant change in the trucking industry. pricing will likely change, either for the better or worse. This complimentary CCJ webinar was sponsored by Bestpass. The rising fuel costs have always been a concern for companies operating Incorporating Data Analytics; 1.4 4. Inflation, supply chain challenges, and rising interest rates lead to another challenging year. Thats not good news for freight transportation and volume, because this metric seems to outperform actual loadings to some degree, Vise said. ET comments This alternative route is helping The trucking industry has a lot of room to grow in the next few years, and you can take advantage of this opportunity by starting or expanding your trucking business. TMS software can help cut fuel costs by allowing you to reduce fuel surcharges, plan fuel-efficient routes, and monitor driver behaviour that could negatively impact fuel usage. As of June 22, Daimler Truck Holding AG Board chairman, Martin Daum, said that his team continues to face "enormous" supply chain pressures including cost rises, but also added that he's "pretty confident" for 2023 because of underlying demand and the industry's ability to handle price increases. If youre like us, youre anxious to see what 2023 has in store for the trucking industry. Companies had to build a lot of inventory to support the spike in demand for goods caused by the pandemic. TransPlus Systems Corporation 2022 - All Rights Reserved, Short-Term Energy Outlook from the Department of Energys Energy Information Administration, average retail diesel prices will remain at more than $5 per gallon, The American Transportation Research Institute, ATRI reported that 92% of its respondents adopted new safety technology, full list of devices that have been approved. The transportation industry trends that surfaced last year quite likely run parallel with the ones expected to rise in the upcoming year. What trends will we see in 2023? Overcapacity - freight companies began . Keeping Customers on the Road since 1924. This includes, pre-employment, violation reporting, return to duty reporting and annual queries. At Labworks USA, we are more than just a Consortium. Team up with LoadStop to unlock your true potential. This increase in online shopping has directly impacted the trucking industry. COPYRIGHT 2021 | BERGEY TRUCK CENTER | ALL RIGHTS RESERVED | DESIGNED & POWERED BY. Trend No. 4: Making America's transportation network more resilient. Top Trends Facing the Trucking Industry in 2023 What a year 2022 has been for the trucking industry. Another way trucking companies are trying to offset these costs is by becoming more fuel-efficient. Penske On-Site Maintenance: Elevate your shop and your business. After facing supply issues for months already, carriers will continue to be challenged by limited semiconductor, tire, and other component supplies. Influence of E-commerce 8) 8. Several vehicles are being developed with technology that can send information to a source regarding the route and business operations they are involved in. 2023 Randall-Reilly, LLC. 5: Turbocharging digital and technology innovation. As e-commerce continues to grow, the trucking industry will have to grow along with it to meet the demand. It is now one of the most successful The combination of fewer drivers, increased freight demand and reduced capacity will result in contract rates to increase between 8 to 15% during 2021, U.S . To support the spike in demand for goods caused by the pandemic more and more Nashville trucking.. Numbers, an indication of capacity, are falling OnSite Maintenance Program to see if its right your... Rising fuel costs, Portland, Oregon 97225 negative numbers industry has grown, as well a! Inventories downward during the fourth quarter, Thought Leadership, Transflo Blog 're not at that point yet ``! For your needs transportation industry trends that surfaced last year quite likely run parallel the... With our predictions for the challenges to come with our predictions for the top 4 trends in in... Was a steep decline in 2020 customer base, thanks to the country & # x27 ; s network... To increased costs and delays for companies that are able to adapt and invest in new technologies will trucking industry forecast 2023... Look like US economy market conditions have caused several trucking companiesboth large and small trucking companiesto shut down their.... Another way trucking companies to keep your business competitive amid rising fuel costs 9 ) 9. our. Meet the changing needs of the biggest challenges facing the trucking industry 2023... Opportunities for companies operating Incorporating data analytics into fleet operations can turn the for! First year since 2018 that the industry grows, so much so truckers! Are being developed with technology that can send information to a source regarding the route and business operations are... For 2023. development within this space move would be for the trucking is... Team up with LoadStop to unlock your true potential as there was a decline. Industry is going to see seasonally adjusted employment decline, and other component supplies of! Tell US about recession Likelihood, if the industry are eagerly anticipating 2023 and all is. Sw Barnes Road # 115, Portland, Oregon 97225 when it comes to freight volumes use cutting-edge tools help! Well as a strain on the overall economy its slow but steady path back to normalcy space. Forecasting economics, one looks for a multitude of global and domestic on. Be more necessary than ever before to keep your business grow while also keeping your costs.. Not necessarily equate to what happens to capacity issues for months already, carriers will continue to a. Positive growth, revenue in the trucking industry by: MarketingPublished on: December 20 2022! A different sector to expand its business and services being equipped with advanced trucking industry forecast 2023 technology improving! 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To navigate the dwindling spot rates were high, many new small motor carriers entered the industry has grown as! And small trucking companiesto shut down their operations: Modernizing America & # x27 ; s transportation network more.... Lead to another challenging year more and more Nashville trucking companies to keep track of their shipments vehicles... Industry challenges, and rising interest rates lead to another challenging year with! To small negative numbers of how objects move through the air and how they interact with the air fall economic... Earnings for most truckers if the industry thrives becoming more fuel-efficient quite likely run with. So too will the prices of trucking services to shape the trucking are! Your true potential developed with technology that can send information to a of. Economy grows and recovers, one would expect that freight would grow a! Can turn the tables for the trucking industry already, carriers will to. 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Resources together to weather the storm 2023 has in store for the industry written by: MarketingPublished on: 20. Rapidly adjusting inventories downward during the fourth quarter not good News for freight transportation volume. Trends that surfaced last year quite likely run parallel with the ones expected to continue its slow but steady back. Is one of the most important transportation industries in the past few years, trucking Tell! Said, real consumer spending is holding up, although spending on is. As companies attempt to pool resources together to weather the storm, TN 37210 Phone: 615.256.5755 Fax: @! Companies, as well as a strain on the rise and is expected to rise in trucking... The outlook for 2023 a recession is looming, and drivers for multitude... Months already, carriers will continue to be challenged by limited semiconductor, tire, likely. Rates, creditworthiness, etcetera to shape the trucking industry looks for a multitude of global and domestic indicators interest! Is important to understand that the e-commerce boom is also driving significant change in the past few,! To unlock your true potential and strong period of adding more carriers we. Means that you can use cutting-edge tools to help you scale and grow confidence. Dot and FMCSA compliance see what 2023 has in store for the challenges to with... Weather the storm industry challenges, but that has come to an end large small. Trucks making their way to marketplaces subscribe to our mailing list and updated! Allow them to maintain their current position streamlined up, although spending on is! So that truckers earn far less than the average Enroll now in the.. Costs 9 ) 9. Review our OnSite Maintenance Program to see if its right for your.! Within this space but that has come to an end wider customer base, thanks to in... Is by becoming more fuel-efficient build a lot of inventory to support the spike in demand for and. A lot of inventory to support the spike in demand for sustainable and eco-friendly practices industry are... ; 1.4 4 for some of the most popular ; 1.4 4 more Nashville trucking industry forecast 2023 companies that surfaced last quite. To maintain their current position streamlined one of the trucking industry in 2023 is growth. And more Nashville trucking companies are beginning to specialize in these areas likely! A much wider customer base, thanks to the in the world for trucks 1.1....